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Severe Weather Outbreak - November 10, 2002

Radar Images                        Impacts Summary                        NWS Links

Severe thunderstorms erupted ahead of a strong cold front on Sunday, November 10, 2002 and affected the eastern half of the Midwest. This late fall outbreak was the worst of the year, including the spring season, and resulted in 36 fatalities and 200 injuries in five states. In the Midwest, Illinois, Indiana, Ohio, and Kentucky were affected, with the strongest Midwest storms in Indiana and Ohio. Most of the fatalities with this outbreak occurred in Tennesssee and Alabama, with five in Ohio, and one each in Pennsylvania and Mississippi.

The surface weather map at 9:00 a.m. CST placed a strong low pressure center in southern Wisconsin with a trailing cold front through Illinois, Missouri, and into Oklahoma (Figure 1).  

Satellite-Surface map - 09CST
Figure 1.  The surface weather map for 9:00 a.m. CST November 10, 2002, with satellite and radar images superimposed. Images courtesy of weather.unisys.com.

Some showers and thundershowers were occurring at that time with the front.  On Saturday night temperatures remained in the 50s and 60s in the region east and south of the front.  The 850 mb for 12Z (7:00 a.m. CST) showed warm air nosing into the lower Midwest, and the axis of an area of Lifted Indices of -4 to -6, indicating unstable air, extended from southern Missouri  to northeastern Illinois (Figure 2). The Storm Prediction Center outlook for the day included a High risk of severe weather, including the potential for large tornadoes in the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys.

Lifted Index
Figure 2. Map showing relative humidity between 850-500 mb and Lifted Index values (dotted lines). Dark shaded area indicate an LI of <0.

Click on image below for 10 hour animation.
Strong thunderstorms began erupting in the warm, moist air across southeast Illinois during the late morning of November 10.  Thunderstorms continued to intensify through the early afternoon as the front advanced through Illinois and into Indiana. By 12 noon CST a line of storms had organized from southeastern Missouri through northern Indiana (Figure 3).

Radar 12noon CST      
Figure 3.  Base reflectivity display for 12 noon CST on November 10.



NWS Storm-Related Links

For a description of the tornadoes in northeastern Indiana and northwestern Ohio, inclduing a photo of the tornado near Continental, OH, click here to go the tornado web page of the National Weather Service Northern Indiana office.

Tornado tracks of some of the Ohio storms can be found here on the web site of the Cleveland, OH office of the National Weather Service.

Updated 11/09/11


The severe weather covered  an area from the Gulf Coast to the Great Lakes. Preliminary figures include 68 tornado reports, 281 reports of high winds, and 163 report of hail.  Click on the map below to see a larger image.

Storm reports

Impacts Summary

As a result of the eastern U.S. tornado outbreak, 36 people were killed, more than 200 people were injured, several hundred homes and businesses were destroyed or severely damaged, and many more homes and buildings were partially damaged.  Property losses are conservatively estimated to be several hundred million dollars in the affected areas.  The November 10 outbreak was the largest and most deadly in the U.S. since 70 tornadoes killed 44 people in Oklahoma and Kansas in May 1999.  Improved lead times in tornado warnings led to a reduction in casualties, given the number and violence of the tornadoes.  The previous record for November tornado deaths in the U.S. was 31, set in 1989.

In the Midwest, tornadoes and other damaging winds were reported in Illinois, Indiana, Ohio, and Kentucky.  Ohio suffered the only fatalities in the Midwest region, with five of the 35 total deaths attributed to the outbreak.  A deadly F4 tornado visited Van Wert County in Ohio, and destroyed 26 homes and severely damaging another 12.  Two people were killed in Van Wert, and more than 20 people were injured. The major local industrial park was also devastated, leaving as many as 500 people unemployed following the storm. Three others died in northwestern Ohio: an F2 tornado overturned a mobile home in Putnam County, killing two; while an F3 tornado destroyed a home in Seneca County, killing one.

At least another 8 tornadoes impacted northern Ohio.  Portions of Ottawa County along Lake Erie were devastated by an F2 tornado, especially in the town of Port Clinton. More than 30 homes were destroyed, and about 100 damaged in the county. A cluster of 5 tornadoes impacted counties around Cleveland.  In Cuyahoga County Solon Middle School was destroyed when the roof of the building was ripped from the steel support girders and flung down.  Many more homes were damaged and destroyed.  The total housing losses reported by the Red Cross in the 17 impacted counties in Ohio included 152 homes destroyed, 156 homes with major damage, and 388 homes with minor damage.

The most compelling story of survival was the action taken by a theater manager in the town of Van Wert to institute a previously developed tornado plan and evacuate the moviegoers to a sheltered corridor and rest room area lined with cinder blocks.  More than 60 people, many of them children, were saved from severe injury or death when the theater proper was swept away and several automobiles dropped into the front rows of seats.  Van Wert was one of four FEMA Storm Ready counties in Ohio where prior preparations safeguarded many people.  Officials of Xenia, OH, famously visited by several tornadoes in the past, went to Van Wert to assist the local government in organizing their rescue and recovery efforts.  Governor Taft visited many of the affected areas on the 12th, and requested a federal disaster declaration.

Two tornadoes were confirmed in northwestern Indiana, an F1 affecting Hartford City and an F3 in rural Adams County.  There were 14 injuries, but no deaths in these storms.  In Kentucky, there were two tornadoes, but intense straight-line winds caused the most damage across the state and injured at least a dozen people in Gallatin County, where trailers were blown over and house damage took place.  Finally, the two tornadoes in southern Illinois in Jackson and Franklin Counties were quite weak and did little damage over rural paths.

Updated 11/14/02

 

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